Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.153790 0.178270 0.205395 0.237685 0.275086 0.317059 0.367763
2025-06-29 0.112778 0.144784 0.183999 0.235608 0.301802 0.383950 0.493817
2025-07-06 0.092056 0.126829 0.172502 0.236938 0.325639 0.443677 0.613118
2025-07-13 0.081357 0.118735 0.170695 0.248285 0.361446 0.520880 0.763394
2025-07-20 0.072512 0.111232 0.167765 0.256440 0.392406 0.593686 0.915639
2025-07-27 0.065423 0.104929 0.165194 0.263977 0.422383 0.667502 1.077654
2025-08-03 0.058493 0.097698 0.159944 0.266151 0.443569 0.729431 1.227863
2025-08-10 0.051702 0.089652 0.152171 0.262876 0.454931 0.776164 1.358027
2025-08-17 0.045076 0.080943 0.142097 0.254201 0.455667 0.804611 1.459589
2025-08-24 0.041783 0.077555 0.140566 0.259932 0.481748 0.878871 1.649918
2025-08-31 0.038212 0.073183 0.136714 0.260863 0.498996 0.938916 1.820886
2025-09-07 0.035460 0.069970 0.134534 0.264502 0.521450 1.010553 2.021616
2025-09-14 0.031724 0.064487 0.127604 0.258469 0.525110 1.048041 2.162567
2025-09-21 0.028839 0.060350 0.122813 0.256116 0.535838 1.100656 2.340953
2025-09-28 0.026692 0.057439 0.120090 0.257564 0.554340 1.170681 2.563679
2025-10-05 0.025805 0.057057 0.122460 0.269904 0.597102 1.295437 2.918592
2025-10-12 0.024660 0.055969 0.123202 0.278774 0.633317 1.410233 3.265570
2025-10-19 0.023544 0.054807 0.123635 0.286971 0.668930 1.527584 3.632632
2025-10-26 0.022072 0.052653 0.121621 0.289336 0.691434 1.617979 3.947888
2025-11-02 0.020318 0.049630 0.117294 0.285774 0.699573 1.676174 4.193123
2025-11-09 0.018352 0.045867 0.110832 0.276338 0.692450 1.697547 4.350466
2025-11-16 0.017544 0.044850 0.110777 0.282572 0.724590 1.817011 4.769229
2025-11-23 0.016493 0.043098 0.108737 0.283584 0.743668 1.906342 5.121303